Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.226201 0.267776 0.312174 0.362838 0.418777 0.478393 0.546465
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.173170 0.229557 0.294108 0.372367 0.463589 0.565536 0.687046
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.135511 0.200638 0.280244 0.382088 0.506356 0.650660 0.828475
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.100805 0.168293 0.256643 0.375840 0.527690 0.710258 0.941892
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.078626 0.147652 0.244052 0.380420 0.560661 0.783668 1.073327
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.058618 0.125565 0.225791 0.374581 0.578452 0.837652 1.181712
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.041344 0.103272 0.203446 0.359902 0.582220 0.872508 1.265934
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.032768 0.093402 0.197916 0.367721 0.615675 0.945801 1.399933
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.023476 0.079275 0.183213 0.359993 0.626144 0.988132 1.494150
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.019766 0.075528 0.185152 0.377345 0.672449 1.079248 1.653603
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.014746 0.066916 0.177075 0.377783 0.693540 1.135971 1.768151
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.010959 0.059720 0.170331 0.379414 0.715854 1.194333 1.885424
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.008633 0.055737 0.169496 0.391243 0.754688 1.277780 2.039792
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.006828 0.052453 0.169529 0.404370 0.795777 1.365190 2.201013
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.005306 0.049235 0.169158 0.416574 0.835645 1.451551 2.362128
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003355 0.042426 0.159530 0.411115 0.847011 1.496751 2.466838
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002308 0.038627 0.156138 0.416695 0.875978 1.567850 2.608398
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.001288 0.033101 0.147264 0.410917 0.885827 1.610667 2.710594
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000523 0.026669 0.134238 0.395542 0.878639 1.627472 2.775751
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000299 0.024678 0.133158 0.404031 0.911789 1.705242 2.928551
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.020549 0.124502 0.395889 0.915830 1.738631 3.017852
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.020324 0.128276 0.414442 0.966734 1.844407 3.212723
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000009 0.017879 0.123949 0.414945 0.985749 1.901226 3.337129